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The Broncos will Buck the Packers

Sunday’s Recap
Picks –Giants -9.5 over Dolphins (Loss)
Patriots -16.5 over Redskins (Win)
Jets -3 over Bills (Loss)
Result – Net Loss
Amount - 50 units
Season Bankroll - +$450

The Green Bay Packers have been one of the most surprising teams in the NFL. Theyve climbed to the top of their division in spite of having a one-dimensional offense as they have no running game. Following their bye week, Brett Favre and the NFC North-leading Packers look to continue their early season success and win for the first time in Denver when they visit the Broncos on Monday night.

After going just 1-4 before its bye week last season, Green Bay (5-1) has jumped out to its best start since winning eight of its first nine games in 2002. The Packers have managed to win despite having a rushing offense that is last in the league in yards per game (65.7), 30th in yards per attempt (3.3) and tied with Detroit for last in attempts per game (20.2). Green Bay may have a chance to get its running game on track against Denver, which is allowing a league-worst average of 176.2 rushing yards a game.

As a result, the offense has turned to Favre, passing the ball 68.1 percent of the time this season, the most in the NFL. Hes been a huge reason for the Packers success. Favre has 1,715 yards passing with nine touchdowns and six interceptions, and became the NFLs career leader in touchdown passes (423), attempts (8,470) and wins by a starting quarterback (152) this season. The three-time league MVP, however, is looking to bounce back from his worst game of the season.

Favre is 17-15 all-time on Monday nights, but has lost his last five appearances as his teams haven’t been good enough. The 38-year-old is 3-1 all-time against the Broncos in the regular season, throwing for 751 yards, six touchdowns and nine interceptions in those games. In his only career game at Denver on Oct. 17, 1999, Favre went just 7-for-23 for 120 yards and three interceptions of a 31-10 loss.

The Packers have not had any better luck in Denver, losing all five of their visits. Meanwhile, the Broncos (3-3) are coming off a 31-28 home victory over Pittsburgh on Sunday night, as Jason Elam connected on a 49-yard field goal as time expired. The victory ended a three-game slide, and helped erase the bitter memory of a 41-3 loss to San Diego on Oct. 7 -- the franchises worst home defeat in its 41-year history -- from before its bye week.

Second-year quarterback Jay Cutler had one of the best games of his brief career. Although he threw two interceptions, he completed a career-high 75.9 percent of his passes (22-of-29) for 248 yards and a career-high three touchdowns. He also directed a seven-play, 44-yard drive to set up the winning score.

The Packers won the last meeting against the Broncos on Dec. 28, 2003, as Favre passed for 116 yards, one touchdown and had one pick in a 31-3 victory at Lambeau Field. The Broncos have won two straight Monday night games at Invesco Field, and 10 of their last 13 Monday home games. They have played four of their six games at home this season, splitting those games.

So basically, we have one of the top pass defenses in Denver going against a pass happy Packers team. Something has to give and I like the home Broncos in this one. So take them and win.

Good luck with your action tonight!


by Johnson